Axiomempiricalv1

Collective error equals average individual error minus

Collective error equals average individual error minus prediction diversity

Why This Is an Axiom

This is Page's Diversity Prediction Theorem—a proven mathematical axiom, not a derived principle. It's an irreducible formal result about how group accuracy depends on both individual accuracy and the diversity of models. The curriculum takes this as foundational truth.

Source Lessons

L-1606

Cognitive diversity strengthens team thinking

Teams composed of people who think differently — who hold different mental models, different heuristics, and different interpretive frameworks — produce better collective outcomes than teams of similar thinkers, but only when psychological safety allows the differences to surface.

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