Principlev1

Classify your evidence for each relationship as verified,

Classify your evidence for each relationship as verified, plausible, or assumed, and prioritize testing the assumed relationships that drive consequential decisions.

Why This Is a Principle

This principle derives from Automatic Narrative Generation Precedes Conscious Evaluation (brains generate narratives before evaluation), Hindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity (memory reconstructs to fit outcomes), and Systematic Overconfidence Taxonomy (systematic overconfidence). It prescribes a classification system and testing priority based on these axioms about unreliable intuitive judgment. The principle provides actionable guidance for knowledge management.

Source Lessons

L-0242

Explicit relationships replace assumptions

Writing down how two ideas relate prevents assuming a connection that does not exist.

Connections

Derived From (3)

AxiomAutomatic Narrative Generation Precedes Conscious Evaluation AxiomHindsight Bias and Calibration Necessity AxiomSystematic Overconfidence Taxonomy

Back to Concepts